{
  "study": "speculative-council-v0",
  "claim_status": "Censored",
  "mode": "untimestamped_word_chunk_proxy_replay",
  "policy": {
    "threshold": 4.0,
    "persistence": 2,
    "min_words": 80,
    "window_words": 320,
    "proxy_chunk_words": 40
  },
  "results": {
    "status": "Censored",
    "reason": "historical exports have full traces but no timestamped chunks; the registered 15-second warning-time condition cannot be evaluated",
    "counts": {
      "eligible": 89,
      "correct": 39,
      "silently_wrong": 12,
      "loud_failure": 38,
      "failures": 50,
      "triggered": 84
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      "median_trigger_fraction": 0.231056,
      "median_proxy_warning_ms": 580499.416,
      "timing_label": "Proxy only: latency multiplied by remaining trace fraction."
    },
    "matched_fixed_delay": {
      "available": true,
      "delay_ms": 284038.975,
      "launch_rate": 0.94382,
      "failure_recall": 1.0,
      "note": "Matched using end-to-end completion latency; this is a retrospective proxy, not a live timer result."
    },
    "non_timing_conditions": {
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      "at_least_10_failures": true,
      "failure_trigger_recall_at_least_0_60": true,
      "correct_false_hedge_at_most_0_40": false
    },
    "gate_pass": false,
    "proxy_chunk_sensitivity": [
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        "failure_recall": 1.0,
        "correct_false_hedge_rate": 0.897436,
        "non_timing_gate_pass": false
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        "failure_recall": 1.0,
        "correct_false_hedge_rate": 0.871795,
        "non_timing_gate_pass": false
      },
      {
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        "launch_rate": 0.865169,
        "failure_recall": 0.98,
        "correct_false_hedge_rate": 0.717949,
        "non_timing_gate_pass": false
      },
      {
        "chunk_words": 160,
        "launch_rate": 0.719101,
        "failure_recall": 0.88,
        "correct_false_hedge_rate": 0.512821,
        "non_timing_gate_pass": false
      }
    ]
  },
  "provenance": {
    "code_git_sha": "7cca5c9e8bc79397926a1a6fb159ecca51ad3363",
    "traces": "data/exports/minimax-confidence-v1-traces.jsonl.gz",
    "traces_sha256": "1502f7186117ab8c83e650a84214a966b6692f2801e3dc07567c52771f51fcbc",
    "compact": "data/exports/minimax-confidence-v1.jsonl.gz",
    "compact_sha256": "1399f24ff14129bd2aa3308c13ef429a8e5902fd35f400c114a4c25083a7b966",
    "predictions": "analysis/speculative-replay-predictions.jsonl",
    "predictions_sha256": "afaba8d12132355293d21e46aff2f8afcfbe0779b6a45fdc6549fa1dedbc3b0a",
    "figure": "analysis/speculative-replay.svg",
    "figure_sha256": "2bb10052fd327f2fab4006d26c02fcb6c0edc1cfc177506221f57508c225bb3c",
    "sensitivity_figure": "analysis/speculative-replay-sensitivity.svg",
    "sensitivity_figure_sha256": "a9e27b25e5aa66d24fd21f9278abdab9140a4bfcbab3f8bedfd31ed99ac8e7d6",
    "new_spend_usd": 0.0
  }
}